NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661890960e75518bfb3350a9990e53a9fefdbf85bb331f73b7209745134b2b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 58c | 59,852$34,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,045.29 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 32,578$13,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,976.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 43c | 10,584$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.58 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…971cbacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…fef6backed Under | 48c | 5,425$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…e09cbacked Under | 50c | 5,403$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…d9cabacked Under | 50c | 5,398$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…5a85backed Under | 48c | 5,355$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…2459backed Under | 48c | 5,271$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…27cbbacked Under | 50c | 5,129$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 41c | 4,948$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 51c | 3,595$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.74 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 52c | 3,254$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,690$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 2,127$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f2…b95dbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…528cbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…27afbacked Over | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…e184backed Over | 50c | 1,975$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…a1cbbacked Over | 52c | 1,943$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…7232backed Over | 50c | 1,890$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…1534backed Over | 52c | 1,871$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…18f8backed Over | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Over | 50c | 1,789$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd818…b2eabacked Over | 52c | 1,782$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 1,775$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…ade6backed Over | 50c | 1,712$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…637ebacked Over | 52c | 1,695$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 42c | 1,662$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1899…acb7backed Over | 50c | 1,634$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…4860backed Over | 52c | 1,630$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…3442backed Over | 52c | 1,576$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…6d3abacked Over | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…6d41backed Over | 52c | 1,554$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 41c | 1,551$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.58 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…cdcfbacked Over | 50c | 1,527$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 1,209$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 1,051$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 41c | 984.25$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.54 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 55c | 850.91$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 44c | 761.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 53c | 753$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.91 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Over | 53c | 671.7$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 23c | 554.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 41c | 543.21$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 512.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 473.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 41c | 351$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 76c | 271$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 48c | 139.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 131.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Under | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Over | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 42c | 101.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…9235backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 95.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 41c | 94.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 62c | 93.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 92.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 85.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…306bbacked Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…9949backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 42c | 80.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…9406backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 60c | 63.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 59c | 58.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 41c | 50.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 60c | 49.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…ff6cbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5c15backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Over | 60c | 41.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed Under | 43c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…4742backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 40c | 35.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5this page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.