Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ee6d53c8baf32c927a044d68558b73a4d86ee4046ea9b1eb2e541f1e3095e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 7,175$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.22 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…0aa8backed Under | 24c | 3,306$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…8affbacked Under | 24c | 3,090$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d6a1backed Under | 25c | 3,071$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Under | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,988$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…d4a4backed Over | 76c | 1,283$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…1caabacked Over | 76c | 1,175$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…e8febacked Over | 76c | 1,122$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…8476backed Over | 76c | 1,052$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 41c | 1,036$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…2e61backed Over | 76c | 901$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…3a16backed Over | 76c | 863$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…3d87backed Over | 75c | 407.83$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Over | 73c | 401.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 77c | 387.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 258.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 245.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 28c | 226$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 218.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 74c | 187$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 116.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Over | 74c | 108.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 76c | 107.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 29c | 100.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 99.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 76.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 75c | 51.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 42.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…60cbbacked Over | 55c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 55c | 39.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Over | 76c | 35.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 75c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 76c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Over | 75c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…c3eebacked Over | 76c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 76c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.