Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a45a734c2ec926cce8adb3a0cfce3b51a59178cc5d2485008b97b6a66ce6c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,467$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…02cdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,900$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 952.44$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 54c | 918.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 45c | 800.02$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.01 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 585.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 43c | 485.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 383.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 60c | 333.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 43c | 268.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 186.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 57c | 176.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 55c | 148$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 55c | 144$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 54c | 107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 38.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 48c | 38.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked No | 67c | 37.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.