Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602d2513846753e8676aa12e058ef52d39ca05610f6493d001e79b1e4db58c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 19,559$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,118.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 55c | 14,999$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 8,191$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.88 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 49c | 6,305$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff8f…50dcbacked Over | 52c | 3,078$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 49c | 3,078$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 2,343$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.65 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 2,237$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.86 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,113$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.99 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 51c | 1,775$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a01…b169backed Under | 49c | 1,396$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Under | 50c | 1,370$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…12c6backed Over | 51c | 1,320$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 17c | 1,249$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…ecbbbacked Over | 51c | 1,232$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…1263backed Under | 49c | 1,168$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…64a6backed Under | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 52c | 1,082$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…5f0abacked Under | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 50c | 954.08$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…748abacked Under | 49c | 894$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 52c | 735.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.71 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 724.2$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 54c | 529.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 16c | 422$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 330$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 270.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 11c | 189.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 164.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 124.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…26dabacked Under | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Over | 26c | 117.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 112.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 52c | 94.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 29.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…de6dbacked Over | 51c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 52c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.