TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c40,693$27,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,449.392,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No42c27,878$11,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,111.27554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes52c15,640$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,062.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No32c11,209$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,665.824141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No30c10,000$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.572759.3%16 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+79.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.968245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c9,067$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,261.6344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c6,654$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.0443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9810960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No42c5,087$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.723852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c4,924$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.613,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No51c4,502$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.8420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c3,625$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.2233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.994037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes45c3,328$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.613149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.987143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes43c2,700$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No52c2,515$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.383452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x195e…efc7backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No52c2,056$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes49c2,045$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c2,003$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.6391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes45c2,003$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.34420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c1,892$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.9184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed No53c1,880$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes48c1,857$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes48c1,818$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.5315376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes30c1,703$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.688027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes49c1,535$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes49c1,532$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.92951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Yes49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c1,151$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6319934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No30c999.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9912336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c998.16$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.135158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No51c990.57$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes70c896.54$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa48…81febacked Yes49c816.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No52c677$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.961668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2645738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No55c590$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.57040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8e…0f91backed Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No53c547$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes69c536.79$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.442844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes47c533.03$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No52c520.79$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c513.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c499.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.999852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No18c429.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.773828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18914252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No55c419.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.998444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No52c414.6$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.45242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18024655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c377.82$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6912868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e37…f251backed No57c375.78$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb9…c1efbacked No57c372.23$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd605…1317backed Yes44c369.91$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dd…4efcbacked Yes44c363.66$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No51c335$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No58c330.45$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.793844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c329.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.58046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No55c319.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.999444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No29c315.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes43c308.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.714151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes48c308.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…6deebacked Yes74c295.92$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed No32c259.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.791631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c249.38$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.227644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No53c245.65$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.469652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes47c242.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No53c237.74$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9511843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No44c225.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.165550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6e…6278backed Yes32c220.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22075%15 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x81e0…df45backed Yes48c215.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.