Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3255e7e906e4c71c02b4ca287f7fad7ff5e8b37daefb81596cea4482add41262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 3,695$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.1 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…ea97backed Yes | 11c | 2,108$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Yes | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 68c | 1,799$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.64 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 32c | 594$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 27c | 519$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 11c | 429.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 404.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 29c | 312.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 15c | 271.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 251.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 215$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…6b4fbacked Yes | 10c | 207.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 69c | 203.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked No | 69c | 199.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 195$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 194.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 21c | 144.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 9c | 128.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…418cbacked Yes | 10c | 113.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 91.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 28c | 86.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 27c | 69.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 25c | 59.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 48.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 30c | 40.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 39.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…c6cdbacked No | 74c | 37.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed No | 75c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.