Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb932a56152eed93b0453fda2ab8c9ad0e17b8274fbabf206c7940f145880ca12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 5,935$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 5,198$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.32 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,827$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.15 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,657$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.61 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 76c | 1,230$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,113$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 471$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 405.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.1 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 77c | 320.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 66c | 318.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 243.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 237.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 225.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed No | 73c | 222.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 64c | 157$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 142.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 32c | 140$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 139.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 26c | 133$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 129.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 27c | 127.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 120.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 26c | 115$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 69c | 113.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 54c | 111.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 84.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 26c | 75.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 75.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…cf0abacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 59c | 38.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 33c | 38.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 44c | 36.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 76c | 32.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 65c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 77c | 29.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…1e1abacked No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.