TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Under53c49,670$26,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,361.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over44c49,076$21,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,593.482441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c25,331$14,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,145.5177342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c8,991$5,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c8,689$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.837635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c7,458$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.541,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under73c7,081$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.8738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c6,110$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.591,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c5,814$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.1459847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c4,525$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.8691435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Over45c4,325$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.4750%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under55c4,022$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.0413348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over45c3,243$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over47c2,783$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.899735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,171$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.2256051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c2,124$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.624,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.0818238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,618$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.322,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under56c1,522$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.9413633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over47c1,233$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.351942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c1,150$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.045750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under56c960.86$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.061822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c831.9$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.231,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over47c794$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.181,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c794$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.181,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under53c789$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.831540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Over45c711.11$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under56c589.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.292055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over35c565.34$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over44c449.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005046%23 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over47c434.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Over43c413.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c407.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.150450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under56c377$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c309.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9914253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under56c253.45$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.523852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c248.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under57c239.8$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.578247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over27c228.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2872442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over47c212.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.724431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over25c206.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c202$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.561,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c198.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7459332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x125c…cb68backed Over28c191.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under54c140$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c138$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8611217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over39c128.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over46c118.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1511349.6%56 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Over48c109.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.995561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c103.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3656241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over45c99.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over45c95.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2916253.7%87 W · 75 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e1c…41dfbacked Over50c82.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.253050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Over46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over47c69.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under50c68.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.014533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Over41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.652433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over47c59.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.926851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over25c59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5812045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Over47c56.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c55.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.911,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Over38c52.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Under61c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c51.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6422057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441021.7%89 W · 321 L-54.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb3aa…ab99backed Under63c49.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Under55c45.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206368.3%43 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f0…18c3backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under56c42.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Over50c42.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over47c41.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2812345.5%56 W · 67 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Over45c41.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812147.1%57 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f5…9e65backed Over45c39.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466764.2%43 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over40c38.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.234431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over44c34.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+142%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over47c31.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.822646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.