Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc4910eae4a9d596e2bb201a65b934db8683c140b662660a2793642e112c95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 58,326$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.51 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 78c | 4,337$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Over | 23c | 2,998$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 2,289$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.92 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 23c | 2,064$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 23c | 1,369$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 77c | 1,359$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.3 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 1c | 1,228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 7c | 897.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 469.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 2c | 411.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 363.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 359.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 23c | 357.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 279.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 28c | 276$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 23c | 145.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 11c | 129.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 24c | 119.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 115.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 20c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 82.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…d7febacked Under | 78c | 75.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 23c | 63.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cf…e697backed Over | 28c | 36.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Leeds United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.