TailMyPicks

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Cricket · resolved market

ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Abu Dhabi Knight Ridersof Abu Dhabi Knight Riders, Desert Vipers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb42…0b87backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c6,411$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.599146.2%42 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Desert Vipers3c2,900$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Desert Vipers61c2,591$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.2514852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d83…b76bbacked Desert Vipers2c2,400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders34c1,902$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.0522552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Desert Vipers55c1,813$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3110953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Desert Vipers3c1,800$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1870%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Desert Vipers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Desert Vipers48c941.34$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44933042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Desert Vipers52c709.8$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6618257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed Desert Vipers53c505.56$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27023555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Desert Vipers51c456.81$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4690…94fbbacked Desert Vipers53c422.22$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515151.7%78 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…b949backed Desert Vipers72c360.77$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac5…27d0backed Desert Vipers73c341.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c338.3$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.029849%48 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.73135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked Desert Vipers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15923754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked Desert Vipers61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834472.7%32 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…a49ebacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14511839.8%47 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Desert Vipers53c228.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12115650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Desert Vipers52c213.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Desert Vipers53c196$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Desert Vipers54c188$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Desert Vipers54c152.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5776351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Desert Vipers52c138$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders50c137.73$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9113040.8%53 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Desert Vipers54c133.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…2f2dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders69c127.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders57c124.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2613151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Desert Vipers53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders54c113.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6313241.7%55 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd3…3ffebacked Desert Vipers52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bd…6299backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9461…3dc5backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders36c109.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Desert Vipers54c106.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3415451.3%79 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Desert Vipers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d8…11babacked Desert Vipers48c101.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1512634.1%43 W · 83 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…ac48backed Desert Vipers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…a16bbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5098…1948backed Desert Vipers75c91.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.992030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Desert Vipers52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Desert Vipers52c82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Desert Vipers53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Desert Vipers53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Desert Vipers72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a7…df67backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders76c65.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.819145.1%41 W · 50 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb469…9e8fbacked Desert Vipers62c56.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2214853.4%79 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders22c51.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.521116.3%7 W · 104 L-18.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268860.2%53 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa909…e7edbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370f…d4c4backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders60c43.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders44c43.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Desert Vipers52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bd…8847backed Desert Vipers61c39.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Desert Vipers54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…a376backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders65c35.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.546440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce1b…b002backed Desert Vipers53c34.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked Desert Vipers58c33.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…e5ccbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Desert Vipers51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a1…5262backed Desert Vipers73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…3f83backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders66c29.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.033158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Desert Vipers76c29.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1722241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders46c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00eb…9b07backed Desert Vipers53c26.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Desert Vipers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.