TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c5,423$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c3,187$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over63c2,379$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,344$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.244,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c2,087$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.572,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under50c1,991$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1519652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158e…e43cbacked Over73c1,477$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under27c1,471$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.9813841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under25c1,397$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8260728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over70c1,089$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.0523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over75c847.97$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9218059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over75c771$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.081,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c693.78$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0725256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over18c549.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over73c509.43$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over44c505.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Under49c469.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.391560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Over75c414.94$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.211464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over75c403.19$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.392171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c401$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.451,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Over73c379.77$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over75c332.07$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0515060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1524047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under53c273.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over74c255.31$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9317955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over75c205.15$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.861668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over68c195.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13319259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c171.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.281,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under66c168.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c167$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.361,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over53c151.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over75c146.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.98867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf7e…2bacbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over75c133$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.759444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…9194backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Under27c117$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.412657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc46d…d906backed Over73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Over75c106.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under26c105$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.74445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over65c101.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Over74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210547.6%50 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7427752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Under21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over23c91.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over62c89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26c5…76fbbacked Over74c85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.078047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb9…65bfbacked Under28c71.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over75c67.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3213149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.529645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4526259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under26c57.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over75c55.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.298763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under27c52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.964057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under25c51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43fc…51c6backed Over74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over51c47.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.124847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over75c46.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9a7…5e4ebacked Under27c45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+213.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c43.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over42c42.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.837751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Over47c42.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45f0…babbbacked Over74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-68.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf98f…c2d4backed Under28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over71c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Under30c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Over73c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over74c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under66c30.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.294847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Over75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae04…7411backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Over74c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over74c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…15adbacked Over74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.