Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62ed30ecaae9c215b7b2ef78dd3ebd894648fb751f214d2b7bf5fbab75e0f5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Fulham FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Fulham FC | 19c | 2,403$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fulham FC | 18c | 1,831$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Fulham FC | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Fulham FC | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Fulham FC | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fulham FC | 14c | 234.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Fulham FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Fulham FC | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Fulham FC | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…90e6backed Fulham FC | 16c | 188.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fulham FC | 19c | 149$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Fulham FC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Fulham FC | 18c | 94.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Fulham FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fulham FC | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Fulham FC | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed Fulham FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…53dbbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.