TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c17,870$10,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,784.961,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under38c10,394$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.7113151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under54c9,200$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over62c7,200$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over48c4,524$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.0458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over62c2,194$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.725552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c2,066$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under66c1,999$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.344365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over63c1,848$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.7238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over22c1,320$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…1162backed Over63c1,141$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.996443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c849.33$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.491,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30414447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c763$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7660136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under39c599.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under39c599.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.564955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over64c539.35$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.353844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over63c507.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.942552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c492.35$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…6900backed Under76c484.43$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over54c465.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.741450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under63c447.53$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over51c440.67$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.751788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.621354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.616753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c411.11$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.117065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Under62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under39c399.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9923947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over35c399.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.381540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under37c363$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3120644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over47c350$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.773935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over24c341$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over62c337.72$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3313149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under38c330$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.417251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under38c330$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.417855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over61c329.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.743158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under38c320$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.615657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Over63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under38c299.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under38c280$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.413453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under38c278.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.955334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under38c266.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.235248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under39c262.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.513931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under38c256.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0818350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+118.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.414445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5cd…05f7backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over41c253$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.285872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over63c192.54$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.242060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Over63c192.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over28c190$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3221744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under38c190$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.213252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c189.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under38c180$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.613352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.610949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.611449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.613548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.613751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under47c167.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over33c162.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.836852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c160.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1419856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.816251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under37c159.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under65c157.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Over34c140$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under63c126.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6e…81ebbacked Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.