TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0a0…d84fbacked No0c97,565$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.561040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked No0c68,519$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed No0c65,486$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes28c33,838$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,476.7210443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c29,616$21,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,157.421,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c26,278$11,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,459.011,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c22,318$15,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,451.5658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes31c15,000$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,349.9914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes28c12,207$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,734.165350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c10,413$7,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,421.0729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes32c10,000$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,813.463857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No47c8,541$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.712268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No3c8,300$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9913232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c7,689$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,305.263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No5c4,790$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.960136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No74c3,314$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.186451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes47c3,192$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c3,050$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes40c3,000$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes43c3,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.977750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No70c2,983$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.5516349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c2,740$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.3534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Yes6c2,362$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.962339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+110.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c2,326$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.9538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes31c2,222$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.739332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No68c2,206$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.075341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes32c2,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40029350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes15c1,997$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.471428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes28c1,995$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.149754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No71c1,731$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.712948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+250%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No24c1,561$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.617454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c1,514$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.5538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0356734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes31c1,471$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c1,397$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7733851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes26c1,390$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.62025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Yes32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No42c1,230$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2244033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No71c1,187$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0616853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357a…8759backed Yes27c1,124$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.52333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed No1c1,051$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No67c1,040$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.787953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No10c1,035$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes31c1,010$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.911737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c1,008$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.8646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e3d…cdc2backed No71c977.46$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Yes27c958.59$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes31c915$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.352941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes17c872.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.220639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No68c862.85$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.744450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.454955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58412242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Yes27c787.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.672015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes25c787.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.34526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes30c779$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.32540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes30c754$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.87946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes5c718.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8321460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.294100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+135%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No76c670.1$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes32c656.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5a…ee11backed No68c638$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No21c628.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0415936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4253441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42520655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No16c613.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.472540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0612843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes29c564.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.962347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes20c550$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.282356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fc…d087backed Yes47c505.49$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3409547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9519…c397backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes30c492$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6510648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c442.43$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No67c420$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.416753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d99…3508backed Yes36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes33c415.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c413.79$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes32c405.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes28c401$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.724238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes26c386.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.312133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick33cpaid+124.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.18032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes32c370$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes32c343.75$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Yes28c338.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes28c332.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.821844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes29c330$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes30c328.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.539233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c328.55$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4113146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No69c324.64$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes29c323$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No66c319.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.593132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.