TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked No75c34,918$26,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,729.5666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No75c31,000$23,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7502552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c29,881$7,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,697.351,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c15,796$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.9258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes40c9,101$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.8634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes65c6,937$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4791030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No75c5,537$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.1712644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes25c3,970$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.299754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes27c3,000$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c2,904$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.012445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No74c2,651$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.187346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No73c2,274$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes25c2,222$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.59332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No59c2,188$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.161457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c2,164$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9716047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes2c2,027$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.715938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Yes38c1,908$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c1,864$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3544033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes26c1,711$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,700$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c1,429$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,285$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3346225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes62c1,260$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.257737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No19c1,127$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.475433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No75c1,020$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed No72c999.92$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c947.52$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.261,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes67c933.22$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6285042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30a…34afbacked Yes24c854.14$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes12c681.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9820343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No15c666.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.616852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked Yes26c600.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No16c580.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes53c570.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No75c549.12$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed No75c542.07$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.523033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c542$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…2e2bbacked Yes26c530$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed87…0ba7backed Yes26c520$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357a…8759backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No37c499.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes26c462$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c452.34$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes23c405.34$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.844526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Yes25c404.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.542015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c401.32$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c401$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes26c396.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10370%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes25c384$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5613931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick33cpaid+124.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes26c346.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed No75c345$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes66c340.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fba…499dbacked Yes60c333.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c327.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.78523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948d…cc6bbacked Yes63c314.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d27…61aabacked Yes36c305.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes26c273$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.982025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No27c251.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.167454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Yes65c246.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No9c242.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.342441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes66c242$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.629142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No46c234.91$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.869123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked Yes6c223.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c219.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1721460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes29c179.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.879233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes25c170$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…f3c9backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0376…1b88backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes38c147.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.32944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes36c140.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.6wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+62%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7efa…5b20backed Yes70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes61c135.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Yes74c135.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes26c130.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Yes15c118.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0474…4778backed Yes25c106.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.