Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d5236c24ce5deb5dac8411e5a1a137b0c96571ec080d293f721d92fd55783c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 705.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 57c | 573.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 534.33$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 39c | 494.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.04 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 476.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 226.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 211.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 33c | 208.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 46c | 201.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 200.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3d29backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 183.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed Over | 73c | 137.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 73.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 40c | 67.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 55.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 42c | 45.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 36c | 28.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 60c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Under | 78c | 17.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.