Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cab2f45a357465b734e1764a3c5f8de3326b6a94c81100c205bbd83d8cac1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,818 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 557.03$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 48c | 414$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 53c | 372.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 47c | 221$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4dffbacked No | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 76c | 56.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 61c | 47.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 41.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…a306backed No | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 53c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 23.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 16.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.