Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3751db6fb49b9951e0be382079558fac4f8a3e4198dda1285bb85f73d8ae4930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,579 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 43c | 991.32$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 949.22$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 44c | 682.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 529.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 512.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 45c | 447.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 106.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 61c | 87.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 61c | 50.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 46.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.