Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610ca8476046f13fe9b0d11ed82315016a92a3e1952564640df75137a80d2423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Jenzof Team Jenz, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 6,527$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.43 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 26c | 4,319$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Jenz | 72c | 4,314$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.16 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz | 74c | 1,953$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.83 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx | 19c | 1,740$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.33 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz | 75c | 1,649$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Team Jenz | 79c | 1,502$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz | 78c | 1,000$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Jenz | 76c | 999.66$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx | 27c | 925.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz | 67c | 683.91$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 638.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Jenz | 74c | 634.85$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Team Jenz | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 535.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Lynx | 22c | 508.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Lynx | 35c | 441.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Jenz | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx | 25c | 397.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Team Jenz | 74c | 391.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Team Jenz | 75c | 304.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Lynx | 28c | 294$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Jenz | 74c | 293.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team Jenz | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Team Jenz | 73c | 272.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Lynx | 27c | 272.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 232.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Jenz | 73c | 209$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Team Lynx | 28c | 207.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Team Jenz | 73c | 204.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Lynx | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Jenz | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx | 23c | 199.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Jenz | 74c | 194.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Team Lynx | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Team Lynx | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz | 72c | 176.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Team Jenz | 75c | 169.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Lynx | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Team Jenz | 67c | 148.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Team Jenz | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…2670backed Team Lynx | 23c | 107.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Team Jenz | 74c | 100.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Jenz | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 28c | 98.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Jenz | 75c | 96.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Lynx | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Team Lynx | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Lynx | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Team Lynx | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Team Jenz | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…926ebacked Team Jenz | 72c | 75.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Lynx | 25c | 73.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Team Lynx | 32c | 69.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Lynx | 26c | 69.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Jenz | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…4df1backed Team Lynx | 23c | 65.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Lynx | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Team Lynx | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Lynx | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Team Lynx | 28c | 58.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Team Lynx | 29c | 50.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Team Lynx | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Team Jenz | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Lynx | 28c | 43.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…4a03backed Team Lynx | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Jenz | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Team Jenz | 75c | 38.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Team Jenz | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Team Jenz | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Team Jenz | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Team Jenz | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Team Jenz | 79c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Team Jenz | 79c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Team Jenz | 79c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…5f74backed Team Jenz | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…6761backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…a2b8backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Jenz | 77c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…80adbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Jenz | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Team Jenz | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Team Jenz | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Jenz | 76c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…9076backed Team Jenz | 72c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Jenz | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Jenz won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Jenz won
- Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Jenz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.