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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Jenzof Team Jenz, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx25c6,527$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.4389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx26c4,319$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1041,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Jenz72c4,314$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.1656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz74c1,953$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.8316055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx19c1,740$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3332549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz75c1,649$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.141,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed Team Jenz79c1,502$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.652250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz78c1,000$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22150769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Jenz76c999.66$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.071,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx27c925.3$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8110735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz67c683.91$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.512161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx34c638.87$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Jenz74c634.85$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.882,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Team Jenz74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5416963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx26c535.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.841,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Lynx22c508.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Lynx35c441.63$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Jenz80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8079859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx25c397.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Jenz74c391.62$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8210551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Jenz75c304.55$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.764445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Lynx28c294$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3224138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Jenz74c293.16$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Jenz73c273$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7112065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team Jenz73c272.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.614577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Lynx27c272.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6117040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Team Lynx28c232.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.483345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx28c220$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.666947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Jenz73c209$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.438850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Lynx28c207.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9814641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Team Jenz73c204.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Lynx28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.533265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Jenz75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5074549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz72c199.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5659254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx23c199.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.419547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Jenz74c194.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Team Lynx27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Team Lynx28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz72c176.71$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.81,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Team Jenz75c169.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.812860.9%78 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Lynx26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Team Jenz67c148.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.442250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Team Jenz80c125.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161369.2%9 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick78cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1b…2670backed Team Lynx23c107.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Team Jenz74c100.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.096949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Jenz71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4836248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx28c98.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Jenz75c96.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.584856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Lynx35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7528544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Team Lynx18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Lynx27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Team Lynx26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Team Jenz73c75.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.346965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7578…926ebacked Team Jenz72c75.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Lynx25c73.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9729432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Team Lynx32c69.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1114043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Team Lynx26c69.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.227459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Jenz75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6735461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…4df1backed Team Lynx23c65.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Lynx27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2821540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Team Lynx32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8438547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Lynx34c58.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Team Lynx28c58.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2813336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed Team Lynx29c50.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453023.3%7 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-58.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Team Lynx26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321155%116 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Team Jenz68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Lynx28c43.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…4a03backed Team Lynx30c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Jenz75c39.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked Team Jenz75c38.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.552060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Team Jenz79c37.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.882360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed Team Jenz79c37.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Team Jenz79c37.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.883956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4385…5560backed Team Jenz79c37.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Team Jenz79c31.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Team Jenz79c31.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.573666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed Team Jenz79c31.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.573366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…5f74backed Team Jenz76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.324660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6418562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.262548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.263063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…4c26backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.262552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.262650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…6761backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.262748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eba…a2b8backed Team Jenz79c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Jenz77c21.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9965647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…80adbacked Team Jenz77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Jenz71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8747548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed Team Jenz79c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.944367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Team Jenz79c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.942653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Jenz76c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2735151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1b2…9076backed Team Jenz72c16.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Jenz80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.244474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.