Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6107f5be03d85b7fd4bed3e2f3bd4067fd14db0035e6426224d4ce130ea53be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Jenzof Team Jenz, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Lynx | 7c | 2,458$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx | 8c | 2,011$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 1,983$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.79 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Team Lynx | 16c | 1,618$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx | 20c | 790.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 5c | 688.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Team Lynx | 12c | 549.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Team Jenz | 80c | 458.85$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Lynx | 24c | 415.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Jenz | 74c | 402.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 402.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Lynx | 24c | 397.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Lynx | 8c | 333.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Jenz | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Lynx | 12c | 283.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Team Jenz | 78c | 257.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Lynx | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Team Lynx | 8c | 238.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Jenz | 76c | 206.27$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx | 14c | 188$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Jenz | 76c | 179$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Team Jenz | 79c | 134.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Team Jenz | 79c | 130.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Team Jenz | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz | 80c | 125.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 21c | 122.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Lynx | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Jenz | 79c | 118.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 10c | 108.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 13c | 104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Jenz | 76c | 84.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Jenz | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Jenz | 74c | 79.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed Team Jenz | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Team Jenz | 76c | 57.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Team Jenz | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Jenz | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Team Jenz | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Team Jenz | 69c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 21.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Team Jenz | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Team Jenz | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Jenz | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Jenz won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Jenz won
- Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Jenz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.