TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Jenzof Team Jenz, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx23c16,842$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Lynx39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.9847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked Team Jenz78c6,344$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.362185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx33c5,255$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.3932549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz68c3,833$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.661,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Jenz62c3,509$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.7351049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Jenz80c3,145$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.3754058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed Team Lynx54c2,362$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.353951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed Team Jenz63c2,357$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.232250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Team Jenz67c2,089$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.72948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e4…bd22backed Team Jenz74c2,010$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.663167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47de…b677backed Team Jenz50c1,993$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.92837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Jenz71c1,898$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.2817965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz61c1,703$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.6316055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Jenz78c1,655$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3612764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Lynx36c1,598$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6726247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz75c1,588$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Team Lynx28c1,501$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Jenz61c1,500$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.6192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Jenz66c1,478$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.794445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Lynx45c1,433$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5510961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Team Jenz71c1,394$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4114646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Jenz74c1,367$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.12,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Team Jenz77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29915050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Jenz70c1,243$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Jenz80c1,117$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Team Jenz61c1,020$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.754346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Jenz72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Jenz55c1,000$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Jenz61c995.96$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.322857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Jenz67c988.6$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9634442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx20c978.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Jenz59c954.81$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2528145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx23c901.27$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.011,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx34c894.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Jenz61c839.34$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3419458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz53c834.36$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Lynx12c813.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Jenz60c801.62$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.651,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx35c734.75$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1910735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Jenz63c540.48$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Team Jenz61c516.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Lynx20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.850769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Jenz68c481.38$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Team Jenz66c465.76$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz48c461$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.722,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac70…97b6backed Team Lynx69c427.49$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Jenz61c419.9$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7614655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Lynx50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz62c400$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15332445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Lynx24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9658356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Lynx28c396.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Team Jenz60c358.71$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.212250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Team Lynx57c352.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Lynx17c350.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.525549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Jenz71c335.9$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.291,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx20c326.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6540644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed Team Jenz77c323.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.262580%20 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Jenz59c296.24$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7322562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Team Jenz63c271.85$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3912860.9%78 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Jenz73c242.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.551,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Team Jenz47c239.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8519053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Lynx24c225.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…bfe2backed Team Jenz59c219$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed Team Jenz64c218.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx51c217.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.842053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz69c210.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.461,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Jenz52c202.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5912065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Jenz72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5674549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Jenz76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4824138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7659254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Team Lynx20c193.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3513336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz68c184.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.971,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Lynx19c176.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5814641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Team Lynx29c172.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…efdfbacked Team Lynx39c160.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.313033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df9…c22bbacked Team Lynx18c151.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Jenz60c146.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5657455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Jenz75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Jenz76c125.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2124636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked Team Lynx27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.753167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Lynx24c121.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1437754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Team Jenz67c120.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.154648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Jenz62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d9…fa69backed Team Lynx27c111.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx32c105.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6181345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Jenz62c102.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.738961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Lynx23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Team Jenz74c94.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Jenz50c94.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.474238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Jenz72c92.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.852060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx13c91.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8889238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Jenz58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.595940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Team Lynx21c74.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.725339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Jenz67c71.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1642146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Team Jenz58c70.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.697445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Jenz58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.976543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.