NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27fd00c09df8138ff43be8a313cfdc5906c47129cf3645a14fe960c37ff9d80c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $571,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Magic	49c	415,174$202,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212,498.17	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	51c	200,000$102,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks	51c	100,443$51,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,225.84	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bucks	54c	92,593$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,000	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	46c	48,565$22,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,220.87	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Magic	49c	12,245$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,245.36	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks	53c	9,482$5,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,025.41	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	46c	9,362$4,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,018.19	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	53c	4,767$2,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,526.51	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Bucks	53c	4,717$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Magic	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.99	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks	51c	3,333$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.83	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks	1c	2,413$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Bucks	52c	2,345$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.4	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bucks	1c	2,173$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Magic	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.91	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	52c	1,516$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.19	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Bucks	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks	52c	1,250$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	46c	1,068$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.94	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Magic	48c	1,065$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.59	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Bucks	52c	961.53$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	53c	919.71$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.32	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Magic	48c	700$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Bucks	52c	599.97$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.98	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Bucks	52c	579.55$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.84	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Magic	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Bucks	53c	483.08$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.03	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	47c	400.07$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.65	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Magic	48c	386.36$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.9	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Bucks	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks	53c	339.38$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.3	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Magic	48c	324.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.99	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Bucks	51c	301.32$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.67	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Bucks	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bucks	43c	253.52$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.14	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Magic	48c	209$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.68	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	52c	204.55$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.37	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks	50c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.41	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Bucks	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d1…0c0ebacked Bucks	53c	192.53$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Magic	58c	181.92$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.41	68	72.1%49 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks	52c	173.06$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Bucks	53c	169.81$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bucks	53c	142.25$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.39	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Magic	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Bucks	53c	131.89$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic	47c	127.41$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.68	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Magic	53c	125$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks	51c	121.82$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.69	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Magic	48c	104.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.2	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Magic	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Magic	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Magic	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Magic	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked Bucks	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic	47c	83$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.58	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Bucks	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+5.6wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+29%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Magic	58c	73.78$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Magic	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.68	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+8.7wins	+0.28per pick	40cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Bucks	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	47c	65.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Bucks	53c	61.32$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Bucks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Magic	47c	56.6$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Bucks	53c	55.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Magic	48c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Bucks	53c	50.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Bucks	34c	50.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Bucks	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Bucks	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4317…a908backed Bucks	27c	49.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bucks	53c	47.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Bucks	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bucks	53c	44.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Magic	53c	44.65$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.89	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Magic	47c	44.21$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.43	378	45%170 W · 208 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b8…e7cfbacked Bucks	47c	42.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks	52c	41.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.82	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	50c	40.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e3…13d4backed Bucks	53c	37.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks	44c	35.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Magic	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Bucks	53c	34.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	273	50.2%137 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Bucks	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd08c…8a89backed Bucks	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Bucks	53c	26.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b6…80adbacked Bucks	45c	24.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Bucks	53c	23.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Magic	63c	21.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	328	66.5%218 W · 110 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Bucks	53c	20.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Magic	69c	18.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.79	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Magic vs. BucksMagic won
Magic vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event