NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ecaff6b369607c29673e78d0bb5e4f8630e7f5eba5c86aa1d19a6ee41064c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,929 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 61c | 5,928$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.71 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 5,814$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 46c | 3,600$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.89 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 58c | 3,456$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 2,816$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.5 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 1,906$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 1,450$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 978.01$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.07 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 787$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 445.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 384.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 43c | 328$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 45c | 298.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 289$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 56c | 268.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 57c | 229.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 164$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 49c | 128.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 14c | 108.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 100.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 46c | 91.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 84.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 66.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 62.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 57.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Over | 49c | 46.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 36.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 36.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 28.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5this page
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. BucksMagic won
- Magic vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.