TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed No54c33,520$18,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,419.344148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes43c13,409$5,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,765.755743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes44c11,916$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.3571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…42aabacked No53c11,033$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked No57c9,668$5,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.121735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.691291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+66.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes45c5,532$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes46c4,120$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.6214652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes46c3,600$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65610358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No57c3,508$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.4213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c3,452$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.063,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c2,838$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.2398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes46c2,617$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.9568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c2,261$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.211,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c1,718$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed No52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x339e…c5fabacked Yes50c1,355$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes46c1,338$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.855437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes43c1,158$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c1,113$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.711,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes44c1,106$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.81,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes50c1,093$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c1,025$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.3872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No51c1,006$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.614949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No54c986$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c868.26$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.81,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No54c770.76$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.553066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No55c600.38$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.173174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c573.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes43c399$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.573043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes47c391.91$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed No58c331.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No51c315.78$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.732850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No50c305$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.954238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes50c289.18$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5311144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No58c282.85$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No69c277.48$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c233.28$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1573438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed No51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No59c202.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.092462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes19c183.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes46c183$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.083161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c179.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3121547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed No49c178.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No56c175.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes47c166.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3619642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c165.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No50c157.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.086346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes17c155$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes18c142.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3852923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes14c137.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes48c134$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.984528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes18c132.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed No56c125.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.332360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes19c122.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.735247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes48c115.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.278129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes16c114.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Yes43c103.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.171637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed No56c88.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c86.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No51c82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1815051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes46c77.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Yes43c71.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.741963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No51c71.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.956958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes45c67.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.459346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes46c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5226150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c60.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09cd…9502backed Yes43c60.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Yes45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes51c57.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c56.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.931,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.235149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911c…87bcbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08c0…b3cabacked Yes46c42.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04c7…2d60backed Yes43c40.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45326.4%14 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cd6…1b08backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes34c38.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes46c37.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.445954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No49c36.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked No56c35.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Yes46c34.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.986558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65f…134ebacked Yes42c34.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.