Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf26edd8c6f4c78903aeedef7eaa26005e99041bdaacd7fa7329f2cb57d69eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,787$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 26c | 1,511$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,355$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,198$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 14c | 645$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 18c | 588.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 479.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 383.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 280.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked No | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 202.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 71c | 187.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 165.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 74c | 139.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 78.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 75.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 75c | 57.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 26c | 42.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 35c | 41.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.