Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0beee33a03e221ef987cc5801c03fc0ae371a8b1b93c00938caab212c57a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 17,464$11,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.89 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 19c | 8,680$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.76 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 5c | 6,281$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 6c | 3,342$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 3,091$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.3 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 2,741$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 62c | 2,449$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.55 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 55c | 2,359$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 7c | 2,279$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 2,258$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.51 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 38c | 1,991$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,984$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.89 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 1,961$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 5c | 1,884$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 1,742$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,614$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 77c | 1,588$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.97 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 24c | 1,511$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,461$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,433$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.03 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 5c | 1,281$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 1,110$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 1,066$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 75c | 1,030$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 897.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 7c | 808.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 50c | 637.68$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 7c | 632.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 9c | 591.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 77c | 567.66$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 41c | 551.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 76c | 527$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 76c | 527$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Yes | 56c | 524.29$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 29c | 462.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 78c | 457.28$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 76c | 403.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 3c | 357.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 352$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 325.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 301.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 26c | 289$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 8c | 279.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 265$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 4c | 261$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 8c | 258.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 24c | 249.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 8c | 223.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 74c | 221.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 29c | 193.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 173.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 78c | 172.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 153.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 8c | 152.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 47c | 152.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 23c | 142.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 135.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked No | 76c | 132.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 111.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 70c | 98.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 88.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 58c | 84.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 83.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 79c | 78.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 66.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 56.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 44c | 53.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 75c | 50.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 39c | 49.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 25c | 47.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 51c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 25c | 44.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 25c | 43.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 67c | 39.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 78cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 52c | 38.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.