Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc68229c4456de01f3d9a6c44d914799507bfba207354dbd5cfebe18aaf5e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shamrock Rovers FCof Shamrock Rovers FC, Floriana FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Floriana FC | 49c | 9,739$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.31 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 8,766$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Floriana FC | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 46c | 1,634$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.23 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 1,324$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Floriana FC | 49c | 867$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.83 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 768$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Floriana FC | 52c | 664.05$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Floriana FC | 54c | 499.07$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 376.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Floriana FC | 55c | 295$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Floriana FC | 55c | 283$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Floriana FC | 55c | 283$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Floriana FC | 13c | 282.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Floriana FC | 48c | 274.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 74c | 224.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 217.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 76c | 212.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 67c | 210.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 183.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Floriana FC | 52c | 174.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 161.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 152.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Floriana FC | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Floriana FC | 8c | 129.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 92.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 52c | 67.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Floriana FC | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Floriana FC | 49c | 48.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 44.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Floriana FC | 54c | 42.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Floriana FC | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Floriana FC | 35c | 39.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…a901backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.