Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58690d8a3d43ab8a7ecb26e906bfc93d2cdfe84128cfca14f30784b797799b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 59c | 1,292$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.72 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 577.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 60c | 530.36$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 39c | 258.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 258.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 61c | 245.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 234.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 41c | 197.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 180.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 166.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 59c | 166.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 41c | 59.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 40c | 55.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 41c | 50.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 57c | 50.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 40c | 45.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 58c | 43.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 60c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 41c | 30.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.