Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0da7e2d94fa13987f391482059d8f03029440615f722e8319e31391c3bde012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 1,104$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.91 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 67c | 886.72$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 22c | 623.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 23c | 576.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 560.31$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 534.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 201.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 72c | 163.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 34c | 156.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 122.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 20c | 101.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 81.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…1359backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 30c | 58.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 59c | 44.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 80c | 13.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.