MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5488eafa6ade6951ace39f192c42aabba98fd2d6aac9b73cd58c233d1b5bea65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Rockies, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 25c | 28,607$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.33 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 24c | 18,014$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 75c | 11,794$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 75c | 9,000$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.47 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Cubs | 77c | 7,996$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 15c | 6,522$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cubs | 78c | 6,266$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.07 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 79c | 6,178$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 24c | 5,460$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.57 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 22c | 4,475$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.49 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 75c | 3,706$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 25c | 3,010$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.87 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cubs | 77c | 2,910$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Cubs | 75c | 2,430$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Cubs | 76c | 1,993$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 18c | 1,391$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.38 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockies | 15c | 1,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cubs | 74c | 1,148$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 26c | 901.27$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 9c | 827.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Rockies | 28c | 775.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cubs | 74c | 666.8$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 19c | 604.23$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 75c | 584.65$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies | 26c | 538$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Cubs | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…b920backed Rockies | 7c | 444.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Rockies | 21c | 412.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 75c | 399.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Rockies | 15c | 380.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 28c | 358.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rockies | 8c | 325.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 24c | 323.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Rockies | 26c | 287.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 15c | 283.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 74c | 241$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Cubs | 76c | 234.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cubs | 79c | 233.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cubs | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Rockies | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Cubs | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 20c | 213.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Cubs | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Cubs | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Cubs | 74c | 195$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rockies | 26c | 172.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockies | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cubs | 80c | 164.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Rockies | 21c | 153.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Cubs | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 73c | 140.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Cubs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cubs | 75c | 133.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Rockies | 22c | 130.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Cubs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked Rockies | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cubs | 75c | 114.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Rockies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Rockies | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Cubs | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Rockies | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cubs | 76c | 92.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rockies | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 70c | 86.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Cubs | 75c | 83.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cubs | 77c | 83.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rockies | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Rockies | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Cubs | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Rockies | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Cubs | 75c | 71.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Cubs | 75c | 69.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…2c06backed Rockies | 26c | 67.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…75dabacked Rockies | 26c | 67.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…4fb0backed Cubs | 75c | 66.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Rockies | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…5741backed Cubs | 75c | 66.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…fd50backed Rockies | 26c | 65.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…de58backed Cubs | 75c | 62.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 25c | 61.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed Rockies | 26c | 60.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…9759backed Rockies | 26c | 60.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…ec4bbacked Rockies | 26c | 60.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1841backed Cubs | 75c | 57.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.