NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a892dddebeb9a12084ee31847132f369ebdebb6cbc80c95c43b158055be2142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Pistons, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $884,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 936 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Pistons | 28c | 44,581$12,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,482.57 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 72c | 42,000$30,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,659.87 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 39c | 25,540$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,540.39 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pistons | 27c | 22,804$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170.53 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Pistons | 31c | 19,477$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,037.87 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Knicks | 61c | 18,536$11,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.69 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Knicks | 71c | 18,347$13,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.57 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 29c | 17,718$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pistons | 45c | 17,060$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,755.99 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 73c | 14,091$10,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.43 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 65c | 13,728$8,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.04 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Knicks | 72c | 13,102$9,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.59 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Pistons | 10c | 11,600$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 72c | 10,600$7,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Pistons | 27c | 10,507$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks | 53c | 10,000$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 58c | 9,857$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Knicks | 75c | 9,763$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.73 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 57c | 8,621$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 63c | 8,317$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 74c | 8,105$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.1 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Pistons | 65c | 7,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 46c | 7,635$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Knicks | 71c | 7,497$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.18 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 58c | 7,456$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.96 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 27c | 7,405$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.45 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Knicks | 68c | 5,735$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.79 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Pistons | 29c | 4,786$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pistons | 27c | 4,727$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.04 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons | 36c | 4,712$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.96 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…0625backed Knicks | 73c | 4,247$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pistons | 0c | 4,109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pistons | 27c | 3,628$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.54 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Knicks | 72c | 3,571$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.88 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 31c | 3,525$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.32 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 27c | 3,459$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 29c | 3,392$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pistons | 46c | 3,239$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.12 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 48c | 3,194$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 70c | 3,087$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.09 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pistons | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pistons | 38c | 2,913$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.45 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Knicks | 71c | 2,800$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Knicks | 74c | 2,708$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.7 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Pistons | 70c | 2,628$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Knicks | 73c | 2,606$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.74 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pistons | 29c | 2,566$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.07 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons | 40c | 2,524$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pistons | 27c | 2,495$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…20e8backed Pistons | 28c | 2,493$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pistons | 42c | 2,367$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.16 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons | 27c | 2,274$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.63 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Pistons | 27c | 2,219$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons | 36c | 2,124$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.8 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 27c | 2,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pistons | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Pistons | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Knicks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…f574backed Pistons | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pistons | 33c | 1,899$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks | 72c | 1,893$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…4738backed Pistons | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Knicks | 64c | 1,736$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 71c | 1,601$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Knicks | 68c | 1,564$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.45 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Knicks | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Knicks | 72c | 1,468$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.04 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pistons | 31c | 1,468$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Knicks | 73c | 1,446$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Pistons | 28c | 1,434$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 73c | 1,388$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…56ccbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,371$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pistons | 32c | 1,348$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.51 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pistons | 45c | 1,332$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…9a9bbacked Pistons | 1c | 1,249$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Knicks | 73c | 1,234$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Knicks | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,187$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pistons | 72c | 1,146$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…3c89backed Pistons | 3c | 1,135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Knicks | 73c | 1,130$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pistons | 15c | 1,104$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,055$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pistons | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Knicks | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Knicks | 72c | 1,015$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Pistons | 28c | 1,015$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Knicks | 73c | 1,005$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pistons | 27c | 1,005$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pistons | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.