Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f034af109e92f50ad8cade8ab017d18afd3a14ec3911791c5a65db60f48f65c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,815$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.46 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,390$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.15 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…827abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,088$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…9f02backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,045$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…cc04backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,034$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 925$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 908.45$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.53 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 907.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 900.15$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 735.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.03 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…e156backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 670$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 650$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 631.1$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 625$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 622$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…9c03backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 617$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 599.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…14b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 581$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…8f58backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 556$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 542.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 541.36$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Vici Gaming | 19c | 513.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…9209backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 507$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 501.03$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 488.95$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 485.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…bff0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 478$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 441.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 434.36$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b61…0cebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 428$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 421.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked Vici Gaming | 16c | 399.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 355.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…7469backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 349$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…9e81backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 321$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 320.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca8…e1d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 315$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…7e2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 313$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 310.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…2ce0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…87b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 309$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 298.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 297.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 273$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 264.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 261.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 233.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 227.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 224$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 223.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 221.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 213.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 208.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 202.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming | 7c | 201.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009e…7974backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 199.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 199.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 184.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 182.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…4f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 179.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 171.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 171.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 164.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 156.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 150.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 147.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 140.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 140.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 137.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 133.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 130.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 125.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 123.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 113.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…a901backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 109.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 107.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 103.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…9168backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 96.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 93.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…af80backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 80.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…fbf2backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 78.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 75.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.