NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba73799579d081b8f6bb4f9f860010a8ff58308aca1cd5f67eeaaeb143d46cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,125,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Timberwolves | 36c | 76,983$27,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,507.68 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…83bdbacked Lakers | 66c | 74,555$49,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,536.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 35c | 71,355$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 74c | 62,226$45,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,252.04 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 65c | 54,478$35,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,346.58 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 42,200$16,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,164 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 26c | 34,166$8,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,832.3 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Lakers | 21c | 25,946$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.25 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Lakers | 64c | 25,920$16,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,698.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 25,852$8,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,931.48 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Lakers | 65c | 25,501$16,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,470.59 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Timberwolves | 75c | 25,303$19,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.47 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 24,900$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,533 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 24,864$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,063.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lakers | 64c | 23,000$14,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,719.98 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Timberwolves | 33c | 16,676$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,208.47 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Lakers | 66c | 15,648$10,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,270.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Lakers | 16c | 15,274$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.76 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 63c | 14,068$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.45 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 13,584$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 51c | 13,305$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.58 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 36c | 10,965$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.5 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 10,656$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.09 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 10,002$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.51 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.96 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 9,860$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,606.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 8,671$6,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.86 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6099backed Lakers | 65c | 8,615$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Lakers | 7c | 7,778$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.67 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Lakers | 64c | 7,758$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Lakers | 14c | 7,697$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Timberwolves | 27c | 7,310$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.1 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Lakers | 0c | 7,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 32c | 7,028$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.42 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 65c | 6,595$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 36c | 6,530$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.16 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 42c | 6,402$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.6 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lakers | 65c | 6,000$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Lakers | 16c | 5,995$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Lakers | 66c | 5,826$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 15c | 5,590$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.82 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Lakers | 1c | 5,530$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 5,443$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.2 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Lakers | 62c | 5,040$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.8 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Lakers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Lakers | 11c | 5,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves | 29c | 4,826$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.93 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,743$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.37 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 36c | 4,717$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.08 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Lakers | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Lakers | 64c | 4,665$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Lakers | 1c | 4,534$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Lakers | 39c | 3,890$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 58c | 3,692$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 3,560$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 17c | 3,468$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.09 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers | 64c | 3,420$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Lakers | 75c | 3,395$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,368$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 3,259$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 55c | 3,237$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.05 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Lakers | 43c | 3,102$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.54 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Lakers | 63c | 3,025$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Timberwolves | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Timberwolves | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…98acbacked Lakers | 36c | 2,935$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Lakers | 66c | 2,897$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 66c | 2,870$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.65 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 65c | 2,861$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.89 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…6b89backed Timberwolves | 37c | 2,800$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…2c02backed Lakers | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.67 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,617$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,375$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 39c | 2,279$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Lakers | 66c | 2,277$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.93 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 2,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.98 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lakers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 36c | 1,915$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.35 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,739$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.57 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Lakers | 28c | 1,710$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Lakers | 63c | 1,691$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Lakers | 63c | 1,603$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,573$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.92 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Lakers | 63c | 1,565$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…3179backed Lakers | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…0e52backed Lakers | 73c | 1,557$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…66c2backed Lakers | 19c | 1,512$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lakers | 57c | 1,481$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 48c | 1,451$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.