TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Hawks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks10c19,839$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9bffbacked Rockets74c10,012$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca4…db1dbacked Hawks26c10,011$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks21c10,000$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f15…2ffdbacked Rockets74c9,979$7,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4a…cb64backed Hawks26c9,977$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hawks1c8,765$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hawks10c7,076$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks27c6,374$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.641,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks27c5,829$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.7620238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Hawks3c5,543$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets59c3,986$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.1649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Hawks41c3,969$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.1127163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed Hawks27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010540%42 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks6c3,052$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Hawks3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks1c2,743$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hawks1c2,702$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hawks2c2,691$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks5c2,597$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.691,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks19c2,528$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Hawks3c2,392$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.743644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hawks1c2,329$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a4…f43ebacked Hawks3c2,185$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.17119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hawks1c2,035$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.457502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Hawks27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Rockets70c1,993$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Rockets72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets74c1,490$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hawks18c1,376$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5419535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets74c1,365$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8619944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7656…2c7ebacked Rockets74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets77c1,291$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8329643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hawks10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hawks27c1,200$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32228341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks1c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks25c1,181$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…d541backed Hawks23c1,160$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6260%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks8c1,154$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets73c1,154$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.21,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Hawks27c1,145$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1110246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets74c1,057$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks27c981.68$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Rockets73c899.98$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24315365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Rockets75c899.13$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets73c865.98$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks27c850$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks28c825.3$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6227735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hawks35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.58434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hawks5c735.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7829450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…780cbacked Rockets73c700.02$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets73c694$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x411c…e9c0backed Hawks5c672.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710724.3%26 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330a…438cbacked Hawks27c658.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks26c604$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Rockets73c586.02$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2323554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Rockets74c579.49$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks26c542.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Rockets74c539.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4212759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Hawks8c526.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f6…d17dbacked Hawks26c500.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.044252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Hawks37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18513138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Hawks5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks29c499.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Hawks27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.57230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets74c436.39$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.466750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets73c410$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets73c403.17$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.641,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…54e8backed Hawks28c396.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Hawks26c384.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ae07backed Hawks26c381.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Hawks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Hawks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b6…4dc1backed Hawks27c362.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cd…d0b5backed Rockets74c343.24$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Hawks29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8730641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Rockets73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8130351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Rockets74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2713959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5087…4ad6backed Hawks27c266.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214939.6%59 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Rockets75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6712659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…e67abacked Rockets74c256.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Hawks20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Rockets74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6523658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d3…20e3backed Hawks27c237.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockets67c214.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Hawks12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.619746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Hawks26c188.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x764f…3dbfbacked Hawks27c188.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Hawks13c186.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Hawks27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Rockets74c179.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.694854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.