Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf19c0fb3e2b012116b685f3f383bde45607d88028b7552622a39e150fc84475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof Olympique Lyonnais, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 34,206$11,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,619.31 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Metz | 66c | 22,832$15,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,036.9 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Metz | 66c | 12,027$7,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,936.94 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 9,303$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050.35 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Metz | 66c | 8,812$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.79 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Metz | 65c | 5,243$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.02 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 4,700$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Metz | 66c | 2,693$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.86 | 880 | 44.2%389 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked FC Metz | 65c | 2,662$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 2,614$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed FC Metz | 30c | 1,800$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 1,001$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Metz | 66c | 950.92$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.68 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed FC Metz | 69c | 788$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Metz | 66c | 755.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 635.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…4de6backed FC Metz | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Metz | 66c | 596$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed FC Metz | 66c | 454.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed FC Metz | 66c | 409.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 407.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed FC Metz | 66c | 360.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 330.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked FC Metz | 66c | 304.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 300.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…cdaabacked FC Metz | 67c | 294.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…5e1bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…e5e1backed FC Metz | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed FC Metz | 66c | 229.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 212.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 198.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 168.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 153$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 152.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 151.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked FC Metz | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed FC Metz | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked FC Metz | 67c | 143$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 132.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed FC Metz | 65c | 119.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked FC Metz | 65c | 119.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 95.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 91.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…d6e9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 83.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked FC Metz | 67c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FC Metz | 36c | 77.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed FC Metz | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 67.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 67.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…ccc1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 60.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 58.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 58.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed FC Metz | 66c | 55.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 53.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…e3abbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 46.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed FC Metz | 66c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked FC Metz | 43c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed FC Metz | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed FC Metz | 62c | 20.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed FC Metz | 66c | 18.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.