NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8acf4ff53c32f97b5a72a594c65b31b28f8c3b0273add6b5cb2318dc3122e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 1,756$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 1,754$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 606.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 435.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 62c | 327.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 327.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 298.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 291.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 37c | 250.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 210.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 37c | 205.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 57c | 178.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 178.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 107.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 59.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…f6e5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 41c | 36.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 26.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…cdaabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 72c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.