Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4936693b56c5c3403df913ed5c60fa36034dac58c76e5cf7f70dd489781fca0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 60c | 3,940$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 1,442$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.68 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…3b2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 808.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 31c | 419.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 374.34$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 321.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 311.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 303.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4188…b517backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 281.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 71c | 280.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 39c | 271.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 51c | 258.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 41c | 251.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 164.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…fb15backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 113.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 72c | 87.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 40c | 85.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed Yes | 66c | 75.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 62.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 23c | 47.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 33c | 43.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…e9c9backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 40c | 32.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 77c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 77c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Livingston FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.