Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Livingston FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a17a474c4c827e191225b0d43fb1640b2451b2e0e42248678760255e5c94f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,937$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 1,235$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.95 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 832.7$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 23c | 554.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 293.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 63c | 250.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 212.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 161.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…fb15backed Yes | 74c | 159.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 129.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…e9c9backed Yes | 80c | 84.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 83.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed No | 72c | 77.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 72c | 76.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 50c | 76.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 61.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…0694backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 45c | 42.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 43c | 38.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 38.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 48c | 36.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 36.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 64c | 35.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 73c | 31.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 67c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Livingston FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.