TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No31c25,124$7,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,212.687255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes69c9,480$6,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,570.5869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c8,202$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,680.211,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…3399backed Yes70c6,643$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c5,923$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.593,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c4,657$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.582,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes66c4,561$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9956149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Yes69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.8950%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c1,870$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.921,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c1,791$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.4340744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes42c1,739$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3811762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes58c1,727$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.131866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes70c1,677$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1741656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes24c1,653$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.711741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x007c…3b2fbacked Yes1c1,016$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes20c1,007$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes69c922.89$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3326445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes55c819.88$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes66c759.94$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes51c689.11$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes67c685.96$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45838646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes60c652.41$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes53c580.34$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes73c576$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes72c530.54$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.999043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No31c525$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No32c518.37$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes54c507.28$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.539354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes58c500$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c466$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2156951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes69c447.39$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.78448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c425.89$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No28c416$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1863645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No29c415.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0948146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes69c313$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9715747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0319…2f43backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Yes22c309.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes56c309.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes68c300$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No28c290.55$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8949647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed No31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes72c234.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.717254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No40c231.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.746355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes69c227.87$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2333047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c192.1$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5911356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes69c187.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes80c187.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes69c177.75$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.655468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No62c176.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5417852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No60c166.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5218554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No28c151$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No28c145.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8827138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006147.5%29 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Yes11c138.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde0…3b13backed Yes59c132.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes41c122.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes30c119.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes16c108.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.364949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes33c105.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.822231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No30c103.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.793935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.856645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9920251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes69c99.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes46c99.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5627554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed No43c92.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.162860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes70c84.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5919055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c83.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2739857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes73c82.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes16c81.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.015349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c81.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4228822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.234655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No32c71.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.96844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.312843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes35c68.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.244655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No32c68.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.773429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes70c67.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…ad85backed Yes16c65.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes72c57.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes33c57.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No32c56.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes76c52.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes35c51.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.024557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes40c50.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.