Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7395bfd1e7334574ceda371cc7a402c157238d20b2d486573e622ac64546649a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 9,142$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.7 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 28c | 2,300$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…126fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,026$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…5d75backed Yes | 77c | 2,006$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 77c | 1,283$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 1,041$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.87 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…df27backed Yes | 77c | 1,011$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 609.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 72c | 608.52$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.14 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 500$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 413.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.26 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 47c | 409.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Yes | 79c | 333.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 323.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 318.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 299.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 31c | 296.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 12c | 225$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 57c | 206.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 174.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 140.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 50c | 139.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 16c | 131.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 129$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…7ca7backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 28c | 79.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 75.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…9d29backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 37.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes | 29c | 35.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 50c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 28.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 61c | 27.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 65c | 17.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 76c | 16.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 64c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?this page
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.