South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332bd3a95d9650a5f22256534e553877fbf1bcac2ad8fc106d6740604b06d96d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,584$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 52c | 2,580$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.77 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 1,522$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 1,382$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 64c | 978.18$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 836.09$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.32 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 51c | 788.43$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 762.25$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 568.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 72c | 470.21$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 52c | 417.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 394.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 61c | 379.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 368.31$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 356.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 331.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 313.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 52c | 306.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…ef89backed Yes | 50c | 290.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 272.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 6c | 251.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 48c | 250.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 238$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 47c | 206.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 23c | 190.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 14c | 177.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 36c | 174.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 9c | 155.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 138.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…845ebacked No | 39c | 114.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 112.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 52c | 108.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked No | 48c | 97.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed Yes | 53c | 96.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Yes | 53c | 93.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked No | 48c | 92.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 90.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 88.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 77.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 53c | 75.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 52c | 73.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 61c | 72.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 56c | 65.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 65.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked No | 44c | 60.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Yes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 65c | 55.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…be3ebacked Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 35c | 54.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 38c | 51.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 61c | 49.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 60c | 45.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 54c | 39.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 37.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 61c | 33.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed No | 32c | 31.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 44c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…3b2fbacked Yes | 61c | 27.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 25.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…42cfbacked Yes | 53c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 60c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 58c | 21.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.