South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3731509f87345c627656efb742363ad44cdcc294e2647fa31808a2dd7ce37fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 69c | 2,711$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.04 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 2,668$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 2,388$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,652$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.39 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 330.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 297.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 66c | 268.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 238.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 194.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 158.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 24c | 124.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 114.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 34c | 90.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 20c | 75.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 35c | 57.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 52.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 77c | 47.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 42.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 78c | 39.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 36.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 28.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.