TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$568,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc270…a462backed Yes46c255,330$118,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,536.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c131,475$74,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,095.3396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c54,528$33,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,369.082,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.994757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c24,890$13,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,000.8449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c24,477$12,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,483.5368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c20,414$11,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,410.1198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes19c20,000$3,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.331136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c16,932$9,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c16,333$7,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,644.1148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes47c12,820$6,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,013.548042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes46c11,882$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No54c10,500$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2397…c215backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No54c9,404$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.6834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.959631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes47c7,600$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5726442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No54c7,500$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes47c6,186$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No54c6,000$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.987332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes45c5,411$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.96850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c5,138$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.8793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c5,016$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.182714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes47c4,951$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed No54c4,951$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed No54c4,951$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Yes47c4,951$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No55c4,003$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.1920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8804860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.517444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4106839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c2,854$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.1241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No54c2,185$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No53c2,179$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes47c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9306323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes26c1,731$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes6c1,708$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.111618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes47c1,543$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7253030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69026040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes46c1,356$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.6516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes41c1,325$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.512920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes5c1,307$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.41723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-40.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes47c1,147$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5392454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes47c1,147$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5393250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Yes24c999.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes47c999.04$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.553754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No76c960.11$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.433271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c950.13$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.0646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes47c941.89$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.6921650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked No54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.936645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No53c900.02$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes19c890$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No54c826.6$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.612035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37612649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Yes3c714.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c632.61$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes6c620$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.42317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c601$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c599.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9928556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes25c523.91$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes20c500.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23037250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No54c496.98$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes45c484.54$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes33c479.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.352832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes23c429.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.898640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No54c425.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.826349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No53c416.64$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.824472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes45c411.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.252941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes47c404.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes35c400$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…ad74backed Yes46c372.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…5bc5backed No54c361.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No51c357.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07db…ce58backed No54c354.63$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.