TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,588 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No54c121,931$65,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,634.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c36,448$17,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,317.4121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes45c25,332$11,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,932.386952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes45c23,166$10,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,741.34459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes47c23,121$10,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,367.5752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes46c18,732$8,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,115.4821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c8,539$3,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,942.511,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c8,372$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6271,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes43c7,998$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c7,422$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,01087344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c7,094$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9905538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No53c6,420$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.94447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes67c4,445$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.84875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3606553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c3,818$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes74c3,400$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.572356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c2,451$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.0623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No33c2,197$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.322638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No53c2,075$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes74c1,935$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.388976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes44c1,777$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.134057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No13c1,520$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No33c1,516$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed No53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c1,359$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No53c800.81$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.432850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c777.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Yes45c746$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes66c717.19$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.196119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c691.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2811916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No60c627.57$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c606.69$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5512839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes45c536$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…db4cbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No53c473.58$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No11c455.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No36c445.27$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Yes48c416.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes72c373.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd460…8c18backed Yes50c373.21$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes69c368$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked No53c315.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No30c301.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.311315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes78c289.03$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No54c274.3$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes69c262.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No32c256.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No53c225.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4213844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.229450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes47c207.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.112060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes46c203.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c174$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed No15c167.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Yes45c151$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No12c146.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked No53c146$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7311…7bd6backed Yes47c144.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No53c144$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.321850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x889f…7dd8backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes47c141$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked No43c135$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Yes46c134$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No55c119.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.414425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes46c104.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No53c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No53c98.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3810248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Yes46c97.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Yes48c97.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Yes45c89.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51c6…847bbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.