Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937e035e28e330488e78e1be11d190a7a51698002b7a627820f6ed1dbabd2fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 7,937$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.43 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 6,370$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.55 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 2c | 5,893$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,551$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 3,523$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 7c | 2,784$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,853$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,843$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.87 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,834$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 1,782$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.65 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed Yes | 8c | 928.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 6c | 748.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 15c | 677.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 624.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 615$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 8c | 611.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 9c | 600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 418.62$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 5c | 405.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 390.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 189.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 184.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…ca91backed No | 76c | 164.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 144.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 77c | 141.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 73c | 139.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 78c | 139$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 16c | 128.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 106.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 24c | 102.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 11c | 96.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…720dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 58.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 76c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 77c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.