TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04b9…4194backed Yes61c8,422$5,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,165.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No33c7,504$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,004.13922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes25c3,537$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.2853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes65c3,213$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.832157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No65c2,511$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.817753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes59c1,830$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c1,693$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c1,601$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.1977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes35c978.8$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.478560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c945.42$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.211,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No53c911.12$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c868.92$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes30c844.75$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6213518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes25c745$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No59c692.44$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No43c677.17$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes69c527.43$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No55c465.83$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.093545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2a…420abacked Yes9c462.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+368.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No61c354.56$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c354$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes25c342.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.691450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No67c321.12$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.532665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No37c313$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1928851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No64c306.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.427953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c302$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.59848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes67c296.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c274$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No72c266.23$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2830444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No47c264$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7736646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes11c252.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.762343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+60.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Yes23c213.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes65c207.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf767…448ebacked Yes66c198.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes70c192.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed No42c189.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.793056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No77c189$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.473253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No66c163.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.075259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes24c161.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5611046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Yes69c143.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed No78c143.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.68875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed No50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed No67c112$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c111$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No77c99.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No66c98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed No77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No51c93.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed No76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.111747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c84.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes23c81.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes66c80.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.472875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18be…dde0backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No77c75.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No66c73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.767974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No39c69.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No75c65.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes25c61.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes24c60.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.565839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes55c60.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No75c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes27c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.128241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No31c55.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked No45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb94e…f954backed Yes40c50.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No59c50.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5925934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No75c50.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No48c49.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed Yes24c49.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No56c47.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes26c44.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No39c43.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.871,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes52c43.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0216853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes24c41.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.047140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6c…be63backed Yes64c40.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51df…8f22backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No55c38.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes27c38.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed No80c36.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c35.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes51c34.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.742133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No76c29.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0219255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No76c29.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Yes55c25.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.