Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa703367c9876a9de1000f72fa9e1942974ba987df2d3975a1b020bcc9975cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 68c | 62,711$42,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,907.34 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 18,465$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 15,039$11,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.71 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 10,478$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 6,890$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.87 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 35c | 5,999$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 35c | 5,328$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 5,148$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.62 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 70c | 5,119$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.74 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 4,951$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.1 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 4,587$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.6 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 11c | 4,330$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 3,190$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.21 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 30c | 2,824$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.54 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 20c | 2,517$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…ad1ebacked No | 35c | 2,512$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 22c | 2,440$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.97 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 2,288$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.65 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 65c | 2,046$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 34c | 1,962$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…a39cbacked No | 35c | 1,950$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 15c | 1,801$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 68c | 1,775$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 1,729$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.49 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Yes | 70c | 1,350$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,346$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 31c | 1,196$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 65c | 1,107$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.84 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,087$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 35c | 1,065$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 35c | 1,065$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 31c | 888$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 65c | 867.85$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.58 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 64c | 799.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 64c | 771.47$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 69c | 563.38$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 561.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…498bbacked No | 35c | 532.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 516.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 31c | 445.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Yes | 68c | 399.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 66c | 393.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 390$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 389.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 384$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Yes | 64c | 373.52$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 76c | 369.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Yes | 71c | 361.41$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes | 66c | 359.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 334$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 65c | 303$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 65c | 298.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 16c | 291$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Yes | 65c | 280.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 279.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 76c | 262.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 64c | 261.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 9c | 227$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 65c | 176.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 66c | 172.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 66c | 166.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 63c | 166.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Yes | 66c | 155$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 65c | 151.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes | 65c | 147.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 66c | 134.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 78c | 129.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 117.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 30c | 113.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 64c | 107.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.