TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes38c34,517$13,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,116.4215647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes38c22,059$8,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,380.579649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No65c19,953$12,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,040.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c17,956$11,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,823.2823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c6,452$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.617949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.92751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes18c5,592$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c5,477$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.4497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c5,452$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.423,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c4,978$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.751,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes4c3,177$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2713518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c2,807$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.2641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes14c2,285$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes37c2,273$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8461020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes13c2,103$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4717753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c1,600$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes17c1,480$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c1,456$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c1,387$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No61c1,376$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.5313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c1,344$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9219560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes16c1,206$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9630444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes16c1,168$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…dff2backed Yes4c1,057$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c871$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.872330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes37c864.86$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes9c811.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.21540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c753.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26612661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes35c675.23$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.335056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No62c630.5$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c573.15$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Yes5c529$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes13c513.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes38c499.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.998661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes22c493.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8710450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes16c470.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.614020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No62c400.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1810960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No50c397.85$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.933923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2a…420abacked Yes15c392.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+368.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes35c389.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No62c374$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.055851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No61c360$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No62c353.7$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9814151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c337.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.426124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c322.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5712146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c282.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c282$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.169268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes18c264.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8412343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c260$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c260$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes39c259.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c253.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes31c252.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6111046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes30c251$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No63c236.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked Yes11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c216$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes35c210.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.716553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes36c206.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes38c205$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes21c199.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes35c188.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes35c185.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…2c71backed Yes7c183.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c182.72$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes18c167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c163.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes35c160.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No63c159.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.163842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c156.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2510853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes35c154.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0119255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No78c150.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.375259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.58065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes39c149.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a2…0593backed No64c149.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes34c144.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes24c139$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.963336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes22c132.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.011,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes10c129.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.