TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No62c58,945$36,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.215647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c13,412$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c13,343$5,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.473,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed No62c9,999$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes38c9,546$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.4823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes40c7,611$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c7,161$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.5953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No62c7,000$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes38c3,880$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.5119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No52c3,748$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.1117753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes38c2,800$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06413844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes38c2,530$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c1,822$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No61c1,404$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4613553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c1,311$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No30c1,288$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.042536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes65c1,170$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.3439567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes38c1,097$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No33c1,096$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No10c1,062$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes63c1,039$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c880$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.765851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes38c856.89$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6242947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes38c789.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No19c768.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.062665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes38c762.5$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes46c751.61$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.259052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes11c631.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.092927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c613.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Yes65c612.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c584.02$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.811,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes38c538.79$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0414151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes38c526.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9912146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked No35c513.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.721060%6 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+193.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes63c510.27$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.724858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes36c502.97$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.072755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No29c465.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2313464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes65c442.87$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes39c442.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3922263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No9c405.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes10c403.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c400.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.111,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes5c392.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1710045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes38c364.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c326.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c297.33$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No26c275.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c272.6$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes56c255.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes10c241.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.578560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No53c228.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1910249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No47c218$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes38c197.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.158257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes39c189.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7817858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes38c182.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes38c172.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.617949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No45c168.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.857962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No17c165.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c164.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes38c164.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No50c162$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes39c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0615638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No30c142.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.993479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes38c141.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed No62c132$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c131.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No61c131.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1415748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No18c128.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.849740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Yes38c128.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.881275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddde…3846backed Yes38c127.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No44c126.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes38c126.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.916454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No18c125$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes40c119.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9926050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes38c114.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.434942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes36c111.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.476847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes38c111.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5312254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No11c110.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.455961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No59c104.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6512346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No44c104.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No37c101.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c100.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes38c99.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c96.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes66c96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No60c95.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9519255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes37c92.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.220249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes38c86.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.676553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No62c83.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.692875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8115051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes70c80.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.