Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb13c72804fe09b88e3cc4564e210af973735edc98ea920d6a9748c7e949731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 3,564$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.21 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 14c | 2,302$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,095$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.48 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,830$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 5c | 1,362$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 45c | 1,144$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.79 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 976.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.13 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 75c | 911.13$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.35 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 25c | 808.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 23c | 610$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 436.59$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 398.13$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 50c | 391.22$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 10c | 380.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 60c | 354.69$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.81 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 60c | 336.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 21c | 329.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 24c | 325.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 284.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 7c | 281.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +368.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 18c | 279.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 278.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 11c | 258$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 22c | 215.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 201$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 200.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 198.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 25c | 190.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 188.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 60c | 178$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 19c | 157.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 54c | 155.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 11c | 151.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 150.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 142$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 126.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 21c | 113.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 22c | 106.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 21c | 102.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 30c | 87.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 13c | 83.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 70c | 82.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 23c | 64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 77c | 57.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 54.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked No | 77c | 50.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…06d9backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 27.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 78c | 17.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 13.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.